dangerous current events in china are detailed here for you by mr. engdahl;
China faces a threat to its agriculture that could do far
more damage to her political stability and economy than the escalating
USA tariff war. In recent months cases of deadly African Swine Fever
(ASF) among the pig population of the world’s largest pig producer have
forced drastic killing off of the pig population since cases were first
detected last August. On top of that, more recently, Chinese grain
producers have been hit by what can only be called a plague of a
dangerous pest called “Fall Armyworms”, that devastates corn, rice and
other grain crops. The combination hitting China as its leaders are in
the midst of an escalating major trade war with the United States, could
affect the world geopolitical map in ways few can imagine.
Officially, the Chinese government appears to be responding with
clear determination to take necessary measures to eradicate the deadly
African Swine Fever (ASF) outbreak. Beijing authorities claim that more
than 1 million pigs to date have been killed. However, that has not
prevented the pig contamination from spreading to all provinces of China
and even beyond.
In the Chinese diet today pork is the main source of protein. China
has the world’s largest pig population, over half, or close to 700
million swine. The problem is that African Swine Fever is highly deadly,
almost 100% lethal to pigs, (though not, according to evidence, to
humans). The disease is highly infectious which is why entire herds must
be immediately destroyed and there is no medical cure known for it. The
virus can exist on surfaces or in meat for days, even weeks.
In an April report the US Department of Agriculture predicted that
China will have to kill 134 million pigs, equal to the entire US pig
production. That would be the worst drop recorded since the USDA began
monitoring in the mid-1970’s.
An April, 2019 research report by the Rabobank in Holland, a major
world agriculture lender, estimates that actual ASF kills in China are
significantly higher than the reported 1 million. They estimate that
since initial outbreak in August 2018, deadly ASF has infected between
150 to 200 million of China’s pig population, some 100 times worse than
the official numbers and has spread to every province in mainland China.
The report states, “In 2019, we expect Chinese pork production losses
of 25% to 35% in response to ASF. Reports of extreme losses (over 50%)
are limited to confined areas.” The report adds, “These losses cannot
easily be replaced by other proteins (chicken, duck, seafood, beef, and
sheepmeat), nor will larger imports be able to fully offset the
loss…this will result in a net supply gap of almost 10 million metric
tons in the total 2019 animal protein supply.”
That is far more than official data suggest and, if true, will have
drastic effect on not only animal prices, but could devastate millions
of small China farmers unable to survive the losses. Accurate data are
lacking as the Chinese pig production is dominated by small farmers
where health security measures are more lax and contagion more likely.
Unfortunately, in a clear effort to calm the situation, the China
Ministry of Agriculture issued a statement this January that there was
no “ASF epidemic,” and that the government was taking adequate measures
to bring the situation under control, this, though the disease had then
spread to 24 mainland provinces.
The suspicious timing of the reassuring statement was two weeks before
the Chinese Lunar New Year celebrations, the time of the largest pig
consumption of the year. Ironically this year is also the Year of the
Pig in China........http://www.williamengdahl.com/englishNEO20May2019.php