this exploration of the current syrian situation is clear and curious if you take the official stand on it, but will show much i'm sure that may be surprising;
The Middle East is metamorphosing. New fault-lines are
emerging, yet Trump’s foreign policy ‘hawks’ still try to stage ‘old
movies’ in a new ‘theatre’.
The ‘old movie’ is for the US to ‘stand up’ Sunni, Arab states, and lead them towards confronting ‘bad actor’ Iran. ‘Team Bolton’ is reverting back to the old 1996 Clean Break script – as if nothing has changed. State Department officials have been briefing that Secretary Pompeo’s address in Cairo on Thursday was “slated
to tell his audience (although he may not name the former president),
that Obama misled the people of the Middle East about the true source of
terrorism, including what contributed to the rise of the Islamic State.
Pompeo will insist that Iran, a country Obama tried to engage, is the real terrorist culprit. The speech’s drafts also have Pompeo suggesting that Iran could learn from the Saudis about human rights, and the rule of law.”
Well, at least that speech should raise a chuckle around the region. In
practice however, the regional fault-line has moved on: It is no longer
so much Iran. GCC States have a new agenda, and are now far more
concerned to contain Turkey, and to put a halt to Turkish influence
spreading throughout the Levant. GCC states fear that President
Erdogan, given the emotional and psychological wave of antipathy
unleashed by the Khashoggi murder, may be mobilising newly re-energised
Muslim Brotherhood, Gulf networks. The aim being to leverage present
Gulf economic woes, and the general hollowing out of any broader GCC
‘vision’, in order to undercut the rigid Gulf ‘Arab system’ (tribal
monarchy). The Brotherhood favours a soft Islamist reform of the Gulf
monarchies – along lines, such as that once advocated by Jamal Khashoggi
.
Turkey’s leadership in any case is convinced that it was the
UAE (MbZ specifically) that was the author behind the Kurdish buffer
being constructed, and mini-state ‘plot’ against Turkey – in
conjunction with Israel and the US. Understandably, Gulf states now fear
possible Turkish retribution for their weaponising of Kurdish
aspirations in this way.
And Turkey is seen (by GCC States) as already working in close
co-ordination with fellow Muslim Brotherhood patron and GCC member,
Qatar, to divide the collapsing Council. This prefigures a new round to
the MB versus Saudi Wahhabism spat for the soul of Sunni Islam.
GGC states therefore, are hoping to stand-up a ‘front’ to balance Turkey in the Levant.
And to this end, they are trying to recruit President Assad back into
the Arab fold (which is to say, into the Arab League), and to have him
act, jointly with them, as an Arab counter to Turkey. .......https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2019-01-14/entering-major-regional-reset-syria-outcome-will-haunt-those-who-started-war
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