martin armstrong has a computer program that forecasts future events with some degree of accuracy and here is an exploration of what it has said about elections past and future;

Many government officials around the world look at our political forecasts, which are done by our computer and are not influenced by personal opinion or bias. These were our projections for the 2016 election. As you can easily see, this is all data-driven. The computer has a political database from around the world; all correlated with the economies and market activity.

At the very beginning, there was the Federalist vs. the party of Jefferson – the Democratic-Republican Party. They split for the Civil War and the Democrats because the southern slave owners and the North became the Republicans led by Abraham Lincoln. The significant divergence came with FDR and the Great Depression as he ushered in socialism. While the Democrats fought against less government since socialism requires a strong central government, they began to lose power in the ’90s. We can see that the closest elections were 1824, 1875, 1916, and 2000............more.......