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 larry johnson tells you why just reopening the hormuz won't bring back 'normal' for a long time afterwards; 

 

Karl Miller is out with another report on the state of the oil production infrastructure in the Persian Gulf and, as always, it is a must read. Unfortunately, it is behind a firewall but he has given me permission to summarize his findings and share them with you. So here goes.

There is a comforting assumption buried in nearly every oil forecast on the market right now: that the day the Strait of Hormuz reopens, the Persian Gulf’s missing barrels come flooding back, prices normalize, and the shock is over. A detailed engineering-and-financial model of the restart says that assumption is not merely optimistic — it is wrong by years and by trillions of dollars. The day safe passage returns is not the end of the disruption. It is Day 0 of a five-year industrial rebuild.

The market is starting from the wrong number

The first error is the baseline. Analysts leaned on a roughly 8.3 mb/d loss figure that captured a temporary rebound in Gulf production, not the full loss of marketable liquids. Corrected, the model begins with the prewar Hormuz system moving 20 mb/d of crude, condensate, products, and LPG, against barely 1.5 mb/d still trickling out today — and it separates two numbers the market keeps conflating..........more............

 caitlin describes where we are and where we aught to be; 

The only way to truly have dignity and integrity as a westerner is to put your energy into opposing the empire under which you live.

Under the individualism of our capitalist society, we are indoctrinated with the belief that the most important and interesting things about us are the personal characteristics which distinguish us from other people: our likes and dislikes, our lifestyle, our interpersonal relationships, our sense of fashion, how successful we are professionally, academically and romantically, etc.

But when you live under the most murderous and tyrannical power structure on the planet, your individual little quirks and facets are a lot less significant than the extent to which you oppose the abuses that your rulers are inflicting upon human beings around the world. If you met a German in 1940, you would probably be a lot less curious about his taste in music and fondness for dapper suits than you would be about his level of support for Adolf Hitler.

That’s you right now. You’re the German in 1940. The most interesting and relevant thing about you is the extent to which you oppose the globe-spanning empire you live under. At this point in history, everything else about you is a very distant second..........more..........

martin armstrong uses history to show us where we're going; 

 

 All Republics eventually turn against their citizens when they begin to see their power slipping away through their fingers. Today in Europe, free speech has vanished. In the US, you see “See Something, Say Something.” Looking at history, we see this same pattern. Perhaps the most famous example was the Venetian Republic, which eventually destroyed its own power.

The practice of encouraging citizens to report others was instituted by Maximinus I (236-248AD) who tore Rome apart declaring all wealth belonged to the state and paid rewards to people who reported others. Once he turned everyone against each other, there was no going back. The economy began to implode as trust and unity evaporated. The wealthy began to hoard their wealth instead of investing and lending it out. Capitalism requires wealth disparity for then the wealthy put their money to use in venture type arrangements that even took place in ancient Athens, which was the birth of insurance underwriting voyages for trade. Maximinus I destroyed that unity and venture capital virtually ceased to exist after him.

The Venetian “Mouth of Truth” (Bocca di Leone) letterboxes was officially introduced in 1310 where people could rat on fellow citizens. This introduction was a direct response to a specific political crisis. The first of these stone mailboxes were installed after the failed coup d’état led by Baiamonte Tiepolo in 1310. The Venetian government established this system to allow for the secret reporting of crimes and conspiracies, creating an early intelligence network to protect the state............more.......

 

 proof that the amazing president bigly is the goat. who else could have pulled this off;

 

Donald Trump does not want to kill millions of Iranian civilians. But Trump has a gun to his head and time is running out. The Strategic Petroleum Reserve is getting dangerously low, long-term interest rates are edging up, and a global oil shock is just around the corner. What is Trump going to do?

For all practical purposes, the war is lost. What was supposed to be a surgical regime change operation followed by massive public demonstrations, has become an agonizingly long period of adjustment during which the leader of the “world’s only superpower” acclimates to the new reality that America has ended its hegemony in a war it didn’t need to fight with an enemy that meant us no harm.

The issue that is never covered in the media is the simple fact that the US military bases that are spread across the Gulf and Middle East are the cornerstone of American primacy. As more of those bases are obliterated by Iran’s precision hypersonic ballistic missiles, US regional dominance diminishes leaving a power vacuum that has been filled by Tehran. This is the new order in the region and unless Trump can figure out a way to turn back the clock, there will be no reason to pretend that the US remains the regional guarantor of security. And if the US can no longer protect the many oil-producing countries from threats, then there is no need to denominate oil sales in dollars or recycle those revenues into US Treasuries. In short, Trump’s folly in Iran has precipitated the most devastating geopolitical shift in the last century which represents the greatest strategic defeat in America’s 250 year-long history. Nothing else comes close..........more..........

 lets us go die for israel and then yahweh will favor us, eh; 

 

As expected, boosters for the war against Iran now admit what everyone knew when President Trump scrapped the Constitution and attacked the country on behalf of Israel. An air campaign will not bring Iran to heel.

That leaves one option: Ground troops — hundreds of thousands of soldiers and Marines on the ground, slugging it out in a country that Israel-First armchair warriors know nothing about.

The problem: U.S. armed forces, avers an op-ed in The Jerusalem Post, could be as many as 1 million men short of what it will take to conquer the country. The solution: Tell young American men that all debts will be forgiven in return for enlisting in the Army or Marines.

Author A.J. Jaff, former Canadian military, isn’t the first to propose ground troops. The late Israel-First GOP Senator Lindsey Graham suggested that President Trump should dispatch the Marines. Neocon podcaster Ben Shapiro explained that Americans would happily accept tens of thousands of dead and wounded Americans if all that blood meant defeating Iran...........more..........

 let us celebrate israel's collapse from the inside. they earned it;

 

 In the early hours of 7 October 2023, an Israeli journalist identified only as Asaf booked flights for himself, his wife, and their two daughters. The next day, carrying only hand luggage, the family boarded a flight to Berlin. What began as an emergency exit became permanent. Two years later, they had not returned.

Asaf told +972 Magazine that he already believed Israel’s education and healthcare systems were deteriorating. But that morning destroyed his remaining confidence in the state and its military: “By the afternoon of 7 October, we understood that even this wasn’t true.”

His story reflects a larger structural trend. Israel is disproportionately losing the doctors who staff its hospitals, the engineers who sustain its technology sector, the academics who reproduce its scientific capabilities, and the taxpayers who finance its wars.

The numbers Israel struggles to define
Emigration cuts against the Zionist claim that Israel offers Jews security and permanence. Hebrew itself reflects the tension: immigration is aliyah, or “ascent,” while emigration is yerida – “descent.”

An August 2026 Tel Aviv University study, based on Central Bureau of Statistics data, found that 90,922 Israeli citizens remained abroad for at least three consecutive months in 2025, following 91,499 in 2024 and 86,509 in 2023. In total, 268,509 Israelis left for at least three months between 2023 and 2025 – 47 percent more than during 2013–2015...........more...........