larry johnson with thoughts and info on the ukie war;

The tired meme that Russia has suffered more than a million casualties is being repeated ad nauseam by Donald Trump, the media and members of Congress. This propaganda campaign is still being used to convince the public that Ukraine has a fighting chance against Russia. But it is a lie. I am going to use the data comparing artillery shells fired by Ukraine with those fired by Russia for the period 2022 – 2024. Why artillery? Because that weapon is a major source of casualties on both sides. The other major cause of deaths and wounds are drone attacks. For the purpose of this article I will focus only on artillery.

I asked DeepSeek and ChatGPT this question: How many artillery rounds did Ukraine fire in 2022, 2023 and 2024? I asked the same question about Russian fires. (The AI programs list Pentagon/NATO reports, RUSI/ISW analyses, and media reports as the sources for this data.) Here are the results:

Estimated Rounds Fired in 2022:

In 2022, Ukraine faced significant artillery ammunition shortages, but still managed to fire an estimated 3,000 to 7,000 rounds per day at peak periods, depending on the phase of the war.

• Assuming an average of 4,000 rounds/day, Ukraine likely fired ~1.5 million artillery rounds in 2022.
• By comparison, Russia fired ~10–12 million rounds in the same period.............more..........