the moon of alabama isn't sure which way the trump will go;

The guessing game about President Donald Trump’s real position on peace in Ukraine continues.

Some commentators, including yours truly, think that Trump has blown it by becoming too committed to Ukraine. Others believe that Trump is deceiving the public while working on peace in the backroom.

The last two blog post were part of the guessing game:

• Does Trump Really Have A Plan For Ukraine?
• Ukraine – Minerals Deal Agreement, Lavrov Rejects Peacekeepers, War Destined To Become Trump’s Vietnam

To recap the first piece:

Neither approach one might think Trump is taking – to use a Ukraine resource deal to keep the U.S. in Ukraine and the war going, or to use the Ukraine resource deal to finally break with Ukraine – is consistent with a realistic assessment of the facts on the ground. At least not if the aim of the game is to make peace.
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The conclusion for me is that there is no Trump plan at all to make peace in Ukraine.

and the second:.........more............

By pressing for the agreement, instead of taking the Russian offer for access to minerals, Trump has committed himself to continue the war in Ukraine.
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It will lead to the failure of his peace initiative.

The war Ukraine is now destined to become Trump’s Vietnam.