larry johnson explores some future scenarios for the ukraine and russia;

An article by M. K. Bhadrakumar (Nuland leaves sense of foreboding in Kiev, Indianpunchline.com, February 4, 2024) analyzes the current situation in the Ukraine conflict and points out a change of strategy by the West.  Instead of continuing the direct Ukrainian assault against the Russian fortifications, the plan, according to Bhadrakumar, is as follows:

“The US agenda to weaken Russia in a long-drawn out insurgency is very much in the cards. This agenda enjoys the support of the transatlantic alliance, is “cost-effective” and allows the US to focus on Asia-Pacific, while keeping Russia down for the foreseeable future. No doubt, Russia’s reaction to the downing of the IL-86 military plane by Patriot missiles in Russian air space was anything but an accident.”

“Moscow’s best option would be to create a buffer that keeps Russian territories out of reach of game-changing western medium and long-range missiles that are capable of degrading Russian logistics and command and control nodes and make large swathes of territories in the east and south of Ukraine, including Crimea, untenable for Russian forces.”

“But that necessitates a full-fledged Russian offensive to take control of the entire region to the east of Dnieper river. Russia may face the same dilemma that Americans faced in Vietnam stemming from the requirement to expand the theatre of operations into Laos and Cambodia (aside North Vietnam.) For Russia, that involves colossal drain of human and material resources and the erosion of its international standing.”.......more.......